Publications

Annual Reports

      • Murphy, B.,B. Timbal, H. H. Hendon and M. Ekstrom 2014
      • Hope, P., B. Timbal, H. H. Hendon and M. Ekstrom 2015

Journal Publications

    2016
  1. Ekstrom, M. Metrics to identify meaningful downscaling skill in WRF simulations of intense rainfall event
  2. Fiddes, S and B. Timbal, 2016: Assessment and reconstruction of catchment streamflow trends and variability in response to rainfall across Victoria, Australia, Clim. Res., 67, 43-60, doi:10.3354/cr01355 http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v67/n1/p43-60/
  3. Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon, J. M. Arblaster, C. Chung, A. F. Moise, P. Hope, G. Young and M. Zhao 2016: Interaction of the recent SST trend and La Niña 2010: Amplification of the Southern Annular Mode and Australian springtime rainfall Clim. Dyn. DOI:10.1007/s00382-015-2963-9
  4. Timbal, B. et al. (2016), Climate change science and Victoria, Victoria Climate Initiative (VicCI) report, Bureau of Meteorology, Australia, Bureau Research Report, 14, 94 pp
    2015
  1. Dowdy, A. J., M. R. Grose, B. Timbal, A. Moise, M. Ekstrom, J. Bhend and L. Wilson 2015: Rainfall in Australia’s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal, 65, 102-121
  2. Grose, M., J. Bhend, D. Argueso, M. Ekstrom, A. Dowdy, P. Hoffmann, J. P. Evans and B. Timbal 2015: Comparison of various climate change projections of eastern Australian rainfall, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal 65, 67-84
  3. Grose, M., B. Timbal, L. Wilson, J. Bathols and D. Kent 2015: The subtropical ridge in CMIP5 and implications for projections of rainfall in southeast Australia, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal 65, 85-101
  4. Hope, P., M. R. Grose, B. Timbal, A. J. Dowdy, J. Bhend, J. J. Katzfey, T. Bedin, L. Wilson and P. H. Whetton 2015: Seasonal and regional signature of the projected southern Australian rainfall reduction, Australian Met. Oceano. Journal, 65, 48-66
  5. Lim, E.-P. and H. H. Hendon 2015: Understanding the contrast of Australian springtime rainfall of 1997 and 2002 in the frame of two flavors of El Nino J. Climate, 28, 2804-2822
  6. Lim, E.-P. and H. H. Hendon 2015: Understanding and predicting the strong Southern Annular Mode and its impact on the record wet east Australian spring 2010 Clim. Dyn, DOI:10.1007/s00382-014-2400-5
  7. Lucas, C and H. Nguyen, 2015: Regional characteristics of tropical expansion and the role of climate variability, J. Geophys. Res., 120, 6809-6824 doi: 10.1002/2015JD023130
  8. Luo, J.-J., and Coauthors, 2015: Current status of intraseasonal-seasonal-to-interannual prediction of the Indo-Pacific climate. Chapter 1 in The Indo-Pacific Climate Variability and Predictability (eds. Yamagata, T. and Behera S.), Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate book series, the World Scientific Publisher (in press)
  9. Potter, N., J. Teng, F. Chiew, M. Ekstrom, L. Zhang 2015: Scoping study for the delivery of future runoff projections for Victoria, Technical Report, CSIRO Land & Water
  10. Teng, J., N. J. Potter, F. H. S. Chiew, L. Zhang, J. Vaze, and J. P. Evans 2015: How does bias correction of regional climate model precipitation affect modelled runoff? Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 19, 711-728
  11. Timbal, B., M. Griffiths and K. S. Tan 2015: Rainfall and streamflows in Greater Melbourne catchment area: variability and recent anomalies, Climate Research , 63:215-232
  12. Zhao, M., H. H. Hendon, O. Alves, G. Liu and G. Wang 2015: Weakened El Nino predictability in the early 21st Century , Nature Geoscience (under minor revision)

2014

  1. Ekström, M. 2014. Test of WRF physics schemes for Project 6 of the Victorian Climate Initiative: An outline of selected physical parameterisation schemes and other runtime options. Australia: CSIRO Water for a Healthy Country Flagship. https://publications.csiro.au/rpr/download?pid=csiro:EP143367&dsid=DS4
  2. Hendon, H. H., E.-P. Lim, H. Nguyen 2014: Seasonal Variations of Subtropical Precipitation Associated with the Southern Annular Mode, J. Climate, 27, 3446-3460
  3. Hendon, H. H., E.-P. Lim, J. Arblaster and D. L. T. Anderson 2014: Causes and predictability of the record wet east Australian spring 2010. Clim. Dyn., 42, 1155-1174
  4. Lucas, C., B. Timal and H. Nguyen 2014: The expanding tropics: a critical assessment of the observational and modeling studies WIRE: Clim. Change 5(1),89-112, doi: 10.1002/wcc.251
  5. Pepler, A., B. Timbal, C. Rakich and A. Coutts-Smith 2014 Indian Ocean Dipole Overrides ENSO’s influence on cool season rainfall across the eastern seaboard of Australia, J. Climate, 27, 3816-3826

2013

  1. Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon and H. A. Rashid 2013: Seasonal predictability of the Southern Annular Mode due to its association with ENSO J. Climate, 26, 8037-8054

Past publications relevant to this program can be found on the publication page of the SEACI web site.