08:30 Welcoming Remarks
08:40 Session 1: Interpretation of Verification Measures (session chair: Laurie Wilson)
1.1 Ian Jolliffe:
Estimation of uncertainty in verification measures (Invited)
1.2 Tressa
L. Fowler: Use of cross-validation in forecast verification
1.3 Pertti
Nurmi and Sigbritt Näsman: Experimentation with the LEPS
score: Comparison of local forecast errors in probability and measurement
space
10:00 Break
10:30 Session 1 cont’d
1.4 Caren
Marzban: A comment on the ROC curve and the area under it as performance
measures
1.5 William
Briggs, Matt Pocernich and David Ruppert: Incorporating measurement
error in skill assessment
1.6 Ian Jolliffe
and David Stephenson: Incompatibility of equitability and propriety
for the Brier Score
1.7 Charles
K. Kluepfel and Momchil Georgiev: The use of equitable skill scores
in the U.S. National Weather Service
11:50 Lunch
13:30 Session 2: Verification of Extremes (session chair: Harold Brooks)
2.1 David
B. Stephenson: Verification of rare extreme events (Invited)
2.2 Martin
Göber: We are surprisingly skillful yet they call us liars:
On accuracy versus skill in the weather forecast production process.
2.3 Phil
Chadwick: A probability of event occurrence approach to performance
estimate
2.4 Matt
Pocernich: Verification package for “R”
15:10 Break
15:40 Session 3: Probability Distributions (session chair: Anna Ghelli)
3.1 Tilmann
Gneiting: Scoring rules for probabilistic forecasts of continuous
weather variables (Invited)
3.2 John
Bjønar Bremnes: Methods for verifying quantile forecasts
3.3 Jason
Nachamkin: Composite-based verification of warm-season precipitation
forecasts from a mesoscale model
17:00 Sessions end for the day ---
08:30 Session 4: Spatial and object-oriented verification
(session chair: Frederic Atger)
4.1 Barbara
Brown and Beth Ebert: Spatial and object-oriented verification
(Invited)
4.2 Michael
Baldwin: Object identification techniques for object-oriented
verification
4.3 Randy
Bullock, Barbara Brown, Chris David, and Mike Chapman: Recent
progress on object-oriented verification
4.4 Thomas
C.M. Lee, Eric Gilleland, Barbara Brown and Randy Bullock: Verification
of quantitative precipitation forecasts using Baddeley’s delta metric
10:10 Break
10:40 Session 4 cont'd
4.5 Barbara
Brown, Chris David, Randy Bullock, Mike Chapman, and Kevin Manning:
Diagnostic
verification measures associated with object-oriented verification approaches
4.6 Caren
Marzban: Statistical cluster analysis for verification of spatial
fields
4.7 Ben Bouallegue,
A. Alvera-Azcarate and J.M. Beckers: An error decomposition method:
Application to Mediterranean SST simulations assessment
4.8 V. Mandal,
U.K. De and B.K. Basu: An event-oriented approach to the verification
of summer monsoon rainfall over West Bengal, India
12:00 Lunch
13:30 Session 5: Model verification and scale separation (session chair: Clive Wilson)
5.1 Barbara
Casati: Scale separation in verification measures (Invited)
5.2 Anna
Ghelli: On the use of high-resolution network observations to
verify precipitation forecasts
5.3 Ulrich
Damrath: Verification against precipitation observations of a
high density network – what did we learn?
5.4 Andrew
F. Loughe, Stephen S. Weygandt, Jennifer L. Mahoney and Stanley G. Benjamin:
Scale sensitivities in model precipitation skill scores
15:10 Break
15:40 Session 5 cont'd
5.5 Zuohao
Cao, Pierre Pellerin and Harold Ritchie: Verification of mesoscale
modeling for the severe rainfall event over Southern Ontario in May 2000
5.6 Dawit
Gezmu: Evaluation of GFS model in predicting the daily rainfall
over Ethiopia: A case study
5.7 Eric
Gilleland: Optimizing METAR network design to remove potential
bias in verification of cloud ceiling height and visibility forecasts
5.8 Matthew
Jin: US NWS gridded marine verification: Derivation of “true”
wind and wave fields at NDFD grids using a geostatistical approach
17:00 Sessions end for the day ---
08:30 Session 6: Forecast value and user-oriented verification
(session chair: Anna Ghelli)
6.1 Jeff Lazo:
Assessment of forecast value (Invited)
6.2 Jennifer
L. Mahoney, Barbara Brown, Joan E. Hart and Mike Kay: Defining
observation fields for verifying convective forecasts that are aligned
with user interpretation of the forecast
6.3 Charles
K. Kluepfel: TAF verification in the U.S. National Weather Service
09:50 Break
10:20 Session 7: Operational verification and applications (session chair: Ulrich Damrath)
7.1 Pertti
Nurmi: Design of operational verification systems (Invited)
7.2 Nelson
Shum and Jeff Thatcher: Verification of Canadian public weather forecasts
by an automated system
11:20 Demonstration session
a. Canadian National Verification System (Nelson
Shum)
b. Use of verification routines in R (Matt
Pocernich)
12:00 Lunch
13:30 Session 7 cont'd
7.3 Michael
P. Kay: The design and evaluation of a measure of forecast consistency
for the collaborative convective forecast product
7.4 Matthew
C. Sittel and Robert J. Craig: A graphical technique for diagnosing
significant error tendencies in meteorological forecast fields
7.5 Brenton
W. MacAloney II: Methodology of the U.S. National Weather Service
warning product verification
7.6 E. Astling,
G. Dodd, and R.-S. Sheu: Methodology for verification of mesoscale
model predictions and analyses with atmospheric boundary layer profilers
14:50 Break
15:20 Session 8: Discussion and wrap-up (session chair: Barbara Brown)
16:30 End of workshop ---
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