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DAY 1 - Monday, October 19

9:00 

INTRODUCTION AND HOUSEKEEPING
WELCOME: Dr Peter Craig

9:15

Keynote: Kamal Puri (BoM)

Modelling across scales: towards seamless prediction and projection

Short to medium range coupled modelling
Session 1   |   Chairs Tim Johns and Hendrik Tolman

9:45

Keynote: Hendrik Tolman (NOAA)

Short to medium range coupled modeling at the US National Weather Service; moving toward unified modeling approaches

10:15

Chris Chambers (BoM)

The effect of East Australian Current eddies on weather in east coast lows

10:30-11:00 Morning Tea

11:00

Keynote: Tim Johns (UKMO)

Global coupled NWP: recent research progress at the Met Office

11:30

Paul Sandery (BoM)

An ocean perspective of coupled short range prediction

11:45

Claire Vincent (U Melbourne)

Modelling the composite mesoscale signature of the MJO over the Maritime Continent

12:00

Alex Babanin (Swinburne Univ)

Wave-Coupled Processes in Air-Sea Modelling: from Turbulence to Climate

12:30 – 14:00 Lunch

14:00

Gary Dietachmayer (BoM)

Towards NWP at convection-permitting resolution at the BoM

14:15

Michael Naughton (BoM)

ACCESS Ensemble NWP status and plans

Land-atmosphere interactions (Part 1)
Session 2   |   Chairs Gab Abramowitz and Ruth Lorenz

14:30

Keynote: L. Ruby Leung (PNNL)

From diurnal variability to land-atmosphere interactions: Implications for high resolution modeling

15:00

Rachel Law (CSIRO)

Interactions between land carbon, climate, and aerosols in ACCESS-ESM1 historical simulations

15:20

Prasanth Divakaran (BoM)

Lightning Talk

15:25

Haifeng Zhang (UNSW)

Lightning Talk

15:30- 16:00 Afternoon Tea

16:00

Gab Abramowitz (UNSW)

Evaluation of land surface models against Fluxnet observations

16:30

Vanessa Haverd (CSIRO)

Exploring and attributing Australian carbon cycle responses to water availability

16:50

Xingjie Lu (CSIRO)

Lightning Talk

16:55

Ruth Lorenz (UNSW)

Lightning Talk

17:30 ICEBREAKER

 


DAY 2 - Tuesday, October 20

Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled Processes
Session 3   |   Chairs: Debra Hudson and Matt Wheeler

09:00

Keynote: Matthew England  (UNSW)

Pacific wind-driven circulation variability and its role in hiatus / accelerated warming decades

09:30

Julie Arblaster (BoM)

Decadal variability in global temperatures and Antarctic sea ice

09:45

Richard Matear (CSIRO)

Modelling the Earth System with ACCESS to assess the potential carbon climate feedbacks on climate change

10:00

Chaojiao Sun (CSIRO)

Long-term poleward trend of the Pacific South Equatorial Current bifurcation from high-resolution ocean hindcast using OFAM3

10:15

Andrew Marshall (BoM)

Initiation and amplification of the Ningaloo Niño

10:30-11:00 Morning Tea

11:00

Keynote: Wenju Cai (CSIRO)

A cross-time scale coupling and impact on frequency ofextreme El Niño events.

11:30

Harun Rashid (CSIRO)

ENSO variability and change in the ACCESS coupled models

11:45

Dietmar Dommenget (Monash)

The seasonally changing cloud feedbacks contribution to the ENSO seasonal phase locking

12:00

Eunpa Lim (BoM)

Understanding and predicting the contrast of Australian springtime rainfall of 1997 and 2002

12:15

Kevin Walsh (U Melbourne)

Coupled ocean-atmosphere processes in tropical cyclones on short and long timescales

12:30 – 14:00 Lunch

High Impact Weather
Session 4   |   Chairs: Adrian Lock and Beth Ebert

14:00

Keynote: Adrian Lock (UKMO)

Recent fog forecasting research at the Met Office

14:30

Keynote: Hendrik Tolman (NOAA)

Prediction High Impact Weather: The Weather Ready Nation approach

15:00

John Nairn (BoM)

Australia's new heatwave service: recent performance

15:15

Valentijn Pauwels (Monash)

Improving flood forecasting skill using remote sensing data

15:30-16:00 Afternoon Tea

16:00

Michael Rumsewicz (Bushfire CRC)

Coupled Systems: From physical science to community safety

16:20

Justin Robinson (BoM)

Developing and improving the flood forecasting service

16:35

Vinodkumar (BoM)

More accurate fire danger warnings through the use of NWP systems

16:45

Xingbao Wang (BoM)

Tropical cyclone forecasting using the high resolution ACCESS model

16:55

Ghyslaine Boschat (U Melbourne)

Lightning Talk


DAY 3 - Wednesday, October 21

High Impact Weather (continued)
Session 4 | Chair: Adrian Lock

09:00

Keynote: Beth Ebert (BoM)

Emerging methods for high impact weather prediction and observation

09:30

Jeff Kepert (BoM)

High-resolution ensemble prediction of an East Coast Low

Land-atmosphere interactions (Part 2)
Session 5   |   Chair: Ruth Lorenz

09:45

Keynote: Andy Pitman (UNSW)

How well do land models handle extremes?

10:15

Huqiang Zhang (BoM)

Transpose AMIP experiments for testing the potential impacts of land-surface models on ACCESS NWP

10:30-11:00 Morning Tea

11:00

Yongqiang Zhang (CSIRO)

Multi-decadal trend in terrestrial evapotranspiration and its implication on global climate models

11:20

Eva van Gorsel (CSIRO)

Impact of summer heatwaves on forest productivity in Southern Australia

Coupled data assimilation and reanalysis
Session 6  |   Chairs: Dale Barker and Craig Bishop

11:40

Keynote: Craig Bishop (NRL)

Probabilistic state estimation for coupled models

12:10

John Le Marshall (BoM)

Reanalysis Benefits from Higher Spectral Spatial and Temporal Resolution EOS

12:30 – 14:00 Lunch

14:00

Keynote: Dale Barker (UKMO)

Towards a UM-based regional reanalysis for Europe

14:30

Yonghong Yin (BoM)

Coupled data assimilation for seasonal prediction

14:45

Maggie Zhao (BoM)

Impact of salinity assimilation on seasonal forecasts

15:00

Terry O’Kane (CSIRO)

Oceanic teleconnections as revealed in models and reanalyses with application to decadal forecast initialisation

15:15

Eng Ching (BoM)

Lightning Talk

15:20

Jenny A. Fisher (U Wollongong)

Lightning Talk

15:25-16:00 Afternoon Tea

16:00

David Walters (UKMO)

The new Met Office Coupled Atmosphere/Land/Ocean/Sea Ice Data Assimilation System

16:20

Peter Steinle (BoM)

Performance of convective scale DA during the Sydney Forecast Demonstration Project

16:40

Paul Scott Hartlipp (UNSW)

Lightning Talk

16:45

Andy Taylor (BoM)

Lightning Talk

 

DAY 4 - Thursday, October 22

Scientific Computing Futures and Challenges
Session 7   |  Chair: Tim Pugh

09:00

Keynote: Lesley Seebeck (BoM)

Challenges to Strategic Innovation and Technology

09:30

Tim Pugh (BoM)

Scientific computing plans in the Bureau, opportunities and challenges

09:50

Phil Brown (Cray)

Trends in Supercomputing & Analytics and implications for Earth System Modelling

10:10

Ben Evans (NCI)

NCI enabling Earth Systems Science using High Performance Computing & Data

10:30-11:00 Morning Tea

11:00

Luke Mason (Intel Parallel Computing Centre)

Optimisation of Unified Model Radiation Calculations for Xeon Phi

11:20

Rob Bell (CSIRO)

From CSIRAC to Cray (again) and onwards

11:40

Discussion : Computing  future opportunities and challenges – Facilitator: Tim Pugh

 

12:30 – 14:00 Lunch

Current status and future opportunities
Session 8  |   Chairs: David Bi and Tony Hirst

14:00

Dale Barker (UKMO)

Status/Plans for NWP Upgrades Over the Next 5 Years at the Met Office

14:20

Gary Brassington (BoM)

Short to medium-range prediction: success and challenges

14:35

Oscar Alves  (BoM)

Seasonal prediction : towards ACCESS-S

14:50

David Walters (UKMO)

Global coupled model development across timescales

15:10-15:40 Afternoon Tea

15:40

Keynote: Tongwen Wu (BCC)

Beijing Climate Centre Climate System Model (BCC-CSM) development and its operational applications
for sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction

16:10

Tony Hirst (CSIRO)

Towards CMIP6 – CSIRO plans

16:30

Tim Johns (UKMO)

Towards CMIP6: Met Office Modelling Plans and Expectations

16:50Dr Peter Craig:
CLOSING THOUGHTS
The Opportunities and the Challenges
Presentation of Early Career Scientist certificate