Posted by Liz Adams on Aug 28, 2015 in Abstracts, Abstracts 2015
Seasonal Prediction of Global Sea Level Anomalies using an Ocean-Atmosphere Dynamical Model Abstract Advanced warning of extreme sea level events is an invaluable tool for coastal communities, allowing the implementation of management policies and strategies to minimise loss of life and infrastructure damage. This study is an initial attempt to apply a dynamical coupled ocean–atmosphere model to the prediction of seasonal sea level anomalies (SLA) globally for up to 7...
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Posted by Liz Adams on Aug 28, 2015 in Abstracts, Abstracts 2015
Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation Abstract All of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) assume that future emissions of aerosols and aerosol precursors will decline sharply. There is considerable evidence that historically increasing aerosols have substantially affected tropical precipitation, but the effects of projected aerosol declines have received little attention. We compare projections forced by the...
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Posted by Liz Adams on Aug 28, 2015 in Abstracts, Abstracts 2015
Seasonal forecasting of tuna habitat in the Great Australian Bight Abstract Commercial fishing involves locating fish in a variable environment, and a fisher’s historical experience with environmental conditions and the influence on fish distribution underpins their economic efficiency. However, in many regions, changing environments are reducing the utility of this experience. In the Great Australian Bight, recent environmental changes have modified the summer distribution...
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Posted by Liz Adams on Aug 28, 2015 in Abstracts, Abstracts 2015
Estimating trends and seasonality in Australian monthly lightning flash counts Abstract We present the results of a statistical analysis of lightning characteristics in mainland Australia for the period from approximately 1988 to 2012, based on monthly lightning flash count (LFC) series obtained from a network of 19 CIGRE-500 sensors. The temporal structures of the series are examined in terms of detecting and characterizing seasonal cycles, long-term trends and changes in...
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