BMRC Publications 2000-2001

Journal articles, books and chapters in books

Balgovind, R.C., Frederiksen, C.S. and Frederiksen, J.S. 2000. A spectral coupled ocean-atmosphere model. ANZIAM J., 42 (E), C183-C199.

Carbone, R.E., Wilson, J.W., Keenan, T.D. and Hacker, J.M. 2000. Tropical island convection in the absence of significant topography. Part 1: Life cycle of diurnally forced convection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3459-3480.

Carey, L.D., Rutledge, S.A., Ahijevych, D.A. and Keenan, T.D. 2000. Correcting propagation effects in C-band polarimetric radar observations of tropical convection using differential propagation phase. J. Appl. Meteor. 39, 1405-1433.

Chambers, L. 2001. Classifying rainfall districts: a south Western Australian study. Aust. Met. Mag., 50, 91-103.

Cifelli, R.C., Williams, C.R., Rajopadhyaya, D.K., Avery, S.A., Gage, K.S. and May, P.T. 2000. Drop size distribution characteristics in tropical mesoscale convective systems. J. Appl. Meteor., 39, 760-777.

Colman, R.A. 2001. On the vertical extent of atmospheric feedbacks. Climate Dynamics, 17, 391-405.

Connor, G.J. and Woodcock, F. 2000. The application of synoptic stratification to precipitation forecasting in the trade wind regime. Weather and Forecasting, 15, 276-297.

Covey, C., Abe-Ouchi, A., Boer, G.J., Boville, B.A., Cubasch, U., Fairhead, L., Flato, G. M., Gordon, H., Guilyardi, E., Jiang, X., Johns, T.C., Le Treut, H., Madec, G., Meehl, G.A., Miller, R., Noda, A., Power, S.B., Roeckner, E., Russell, G., Schneider, E.K., Stouffer, R.J., Terray, L. and von Storch., J.-S. 2000. The seasonal cycle in coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models. Climate Dynamics, 16, 775-787.

Davidson, N.E. and Weber, H.C. 2000. The BMRC high-resolution tropical cyclone prediction system: TC-LAPS. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 1245-1265.

Desborough, C.E., Pitman, A.J. and McAvaney, B. 2001. Surface energy balance complexity in GCM land surface models. Part II: coupled simulations. Climate Dynamics, 17, 615-626.

Drosdowsky, W. and Allan, R.J. 2000. The potential for improved statistical seasonal climate forecasts. In: Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems. The Australian Experience. G.L. Hammer, N. Nicholls and C. Mitchell (eds), Kluwer, Dortrecht, 77-87.

Drosdowsky, W. and Chambers, L.E. 2001. Near-global sea surface temperature anomalies as predictors of Australian seasonal rainfall. J. Climate, 14, 1677-1687.

Ebert, E.E. and McBride, J.L. 2000. Verification of precipitation in weather systems: Determination of systematic errors. J. Hydrology, 239, 179-202.

Frederiksen, C.S., Zhang, H., Balgovind, R.C., Nicholls, N., Drosdowsky, W. and Chambers, L. 2001. Dynamical seasonal forecasts during the 1997/98 ENSO using persisted SST anomalies. J. Climate, 14, 2675-2695.

Frederiksen, C.S. and Zheng, X. 2000. Chaos, potential predictability and model validation of climate variations. ANZIAM J., 42 (E), C608-C626.

Glantz, M. and Nicholls, N. 2000. Chronology of interest in El Niño. In: Currents of change. Impacts of El Niño and La Niña on climate and society, 2nd ed., Glantz, M., Cambridge Univ. Press, 229-236.

Greenslade, D. 2000. The assimilation of ERS-2 significant wave height data in the Australian region. J. Marine Systems, 28, 141-160.

Greenslade, D.J.M. 2001. A wave modelling study of the 1998 Sydney to Hobart yacht race. Aust. Met. Mag., 50, 53-63.

Hammer, G.L., Nicholls, N. and Mitchell, C. (eds) 2000. Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems. The Australian Experience, Kluwer Academic Publishers, London, 482pp.

Haylock, M. and Nicholls, N. 2000. Trends in extreme rainfall indices for an updated high quality data set for Australia, 1910-1998. Int. J. Climatol., 20, 1533-1541.

Jones, D. and Trewin, B. 2000. On the relationships between the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Australian land surface temperature. Int. J. Climatol. 20, 697-719.

Kar, S.K. 2000. Stable centered difference schemes, based on an unstaggered grid, that eliminate two-grid interval noise. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3643-3653.

Kar, S. and Logan, L. 2000. A semi-Lagrangian and semi-implicit scheme on an unstaggered horizontal grid. Aust. Met. Mag., 49, 293-317.

Keenan, T.D., Carey, L.D., Zrnic, D.S. and May, P.T. 2001. Sensitivity of 5 cm wavelength polarimetric radar variables to raindrop axial ratio and drop size distribution. J. Appl. Meteor., 40, 526-545.

Keenan, T., May, P., Holland, G., Rutledge, S., Carbone, R., Wilson, J., Moncrieff, M., Crook, A., Takahashi, T., Tapper, N., Platt, M., Hacker, J., Sekelsky, S., Saito, K. and Gage, K. 2000. The Maritime Continent Thunderstorm Experiment (MCTEX): Overview and some results, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 2433-2455.

Kessler, W.S. and Kleeman, R. 2000. Rectification of the Madden-Julian Oscillation into the ENSO cycle. J. Climate 13, 3560-3575. Kleeman R., Wang, G. and Jewson, S. 2001. Surface flux response to interannual tropical Pacific sea surface temperature variability in AMIP models. Climate Dynamics, 17, 627-641.

Kleeman R., Naik, N.H. and Cane, M.A. 2000. Meridional location of the Pacific Ocean subtropical gyre. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 30, 1988-2000.

Lau, K.M., Ding, Y., Wang, J-T., Johnson, R., Keenan, T., Cifelli, R., Gerlach, J., Thiele, O., Rickenbach, T., Tsay, S-C. and Lin, P-H. 2000. A report of the field operations and early results of the South China Sea Monsoon Experiment (SCSMEX). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 1261-1270.

Le Bouar, E., Testud, J. and Keenan, T.D. 2000. Validation of the rain profiling algorithm ZPHI applied to a C-band polarimetric weather radar. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth. Part B - Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere, 25, 855-859.

Le Marshall, J., Kelly, G., Seecamp, R., Harris, B. and Tingwell, C. 2001. First results from the use of local ATOVS data in the Australian region. Aust. Met. Mag., 50, 159-163.

Le Marshall, J.F., Leslie, L.M., Morison, R.P., Pescod, N.R., Seecamp, R. and Spinoso, C. 2000. Recent developments in the continuous assimilation of satellite wind data for tropical cyclone track forecasting. Adv. Space Res., 25, 1077-80.

Li, Q. and Power, S.B. 2000. Responses of a global CGCM to CO2 increase. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 14, 46-60.

Limpus, C. and Nicholls, N. 2000. ENSO regulation of Indo-Pacific green turtle populations. Chap. 24 in: Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agriculture and natural ecosystems - The Australian experience. G. Hammer, N. Nicholls and C. Mitchell (Eds), Kluwer. 482 pp.

Lucas, C., May, P.T. and Vincent, R.A. 2001. An algorithm for the detection of fronts in wind profiler data. Weather and Forecasting, 16, 234-247.

McBride, J.L. and Ebert, E.E. 2000. Verification of quantitative precipitation forecasts from operational numerical weather prediction models over Australia. Weather and Forecasting, 15, 103-121.

Manton, M.J., Della-Marta, P.M., Haylock, M.R., Hennessy, K.J., Nicholls, N., Chambers, L.E., Collins, D.A., Daw, G., Finet, A., Gunawan, D., Inape, K., Isobe, H., Kestin, T.S., Lefale, P., Leyu, C.H., Lwin, T., Maitreperre, L., Ouprasitwong, N., Page, C. 2001. Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature in Southeast Asia and the South Pacific: 1961-1998. Int. J. Climatol., 21, 269-284.

Mills, G.A. 2001. Mesoscale cyclogenesis in reversed shear-the 1998 Sydney-Hobart yacht race storm. Aust. Met. Mag., 50, 29-52.

Nicholls, N. 2000. An artificial trend in District Average Rainfall in the Snowy Mountains. Aust. Met. Mag., 49, 255-258.

Nicholls, N. 2000. Opportunities to improve the use of seasonal climate forecasts. Chap 19 in: Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agriculture and natural ecosystems - The Australian experience. G. Hammer, N. Nicholls and C. Mitchell (Eds), Kluwer. 482 pp.

Nicholls, N. 2000. El Nino-Southern Oscillation: Aftermath of the 1997/98 event and prediction of future events. WMO Bulletin, 49, 267-270.

Nicholls, N., 2000. What the instrumental and recent historical record tells us about the El Niño - Southern Oscillation. In: El Niño: History and Crisis, Grove, R.H., and Chappell, J. (Eds), The White Horse Press, Cambridge, 79-88.

Nicholls, N. and Beard, G. 2000. The application of El Niño - Southern Oscillation information to seasonal forecasts in Australia. In: Drought: a global assessment. D. Wilhite, (Ed.), Routledge, London, 41-51.

Nicholls, N., Frederiksen, C. and Kleeman, R. 2000. Operational experience with climate model predictions. Chap.8 in: Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agriculture and natural ecosystems - The Australian experience. G. Hammer, N. Nicholls and C. Mitchell (Eds), Kluwer. 482 pp.

Potts, R.J., Keenan T.D. and May, P.T. 2000. Radar characteristics of storms in the Sydney area. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3308-3319.

Reeder, M.J., Smith, R.K., Deslandes, R., Tapper, N.J. and Mills, G.A. 2000. Subtropical fronts observed during the 1996 Central Australian Fronts Experiment. Aust. Met. Mag., 49, 181-200.

Saito, K., Keenan, T., Holland, G. and Puri, K. 2001. Numerical simulation of the diurnal evolution of tropical island convection over the maritime continent. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 378-400.

Seaman, R. and Warne, J. 2000. A systematic difference between pressures measured by Kew Pattern mercury barometers and electronic barometers. Aust. Met. Mag., 49, 351-354.

Siems, S.T., Hess, G.D., Suhre, K., Businger, S. and Draxler, R.R. 2000. The impact of wind shear on observed and simulated trajectories during the ACE-1 Lagrangian experiments. Aust. Met. Mag. 49, 109-120.

Smith, N.R. 2000. The Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment. Adv. Space Res., 25, 1089-1098.

Smith, N.R. 2001. Ocean and climate prediction. Chap. 7.3 of WOCE book Ocean Circulation and Climate. (Eds J.A. Church, G. Seidler and J. Gould), Academic Press.

Sun, X., Mein, R.G., Keenan, T.D. and Elliott, J. 2000. Flood forecasting using radar and raingauge data. J. of Hydrology, 239, 4-18.

Tang, Y.M., Smith, N. and Greenslade, D. 2000. Comparison of model and observed winds in the Australian region. Aust. Met. Mag., 49, 23-35.

Tonkin, H., Holland, G.J., Holbrook, N. and Henderson-Sellers, A. 2000. An evaluation of thermodynamic estimates of climatological maximum potential tropical cyclone intensity. Mon. Wea. Rev. 128, 746-762.

Tory, K.J., Reason, C.J.C. and Jackson, P.L. 2001. A numerical study of a southeast Australian coastal ridging event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 437-452.

Walland, D.J., Power, S.B. and Hirst, A.C. 2000. Decadal climate variability simulated in a coupled general circulation model. Climate Dynamics, 16, 201-211.

Wheeler, M., Kiladis, G.N. and Webster, P.J. 2000. Large-scale dynamical fields associated with convectively coupled equatorial waves. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 613-640.

Yano, J.-I., Grabowski, W.W., Roff, G.L. and Mapes, B.E. 2000. Asymptotic approaches to convective quasi-equilibrium. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 1861-1887.

Zhang, H. and Casey, T. 2000. Verification of categorical probability forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 15, 80-89.

Zhang, H. and Frederiksen, C.S. 2001. Experimental dynamical seasonal forecasts: a model performance over East Asia during the 1997-98 El Nino event. In: Dynamics of Atmospheric and Oceanic Circulation and Climate, China Meteorological Press, 872pp.

Zrnic, D.S., Keenan, T.D., Carey, L.D. and May, P. 2000. Sensitivity analysis of polarimetric variables at a 5 cm wavelength in rain. J. Appl. Meteor., 39, 1514-1526.

Clewett, J., McBride, J.L., Abawi, Y., Day, K. and Huda, S. 2000. Capturing the benefits of seasonal climate forecasts in agricultural management. Annual Report for ACIAR Project LWR2/96/215. Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research (ACIAR), Canberra.

Greenslade, D.J.M. 2000. Upgrades to the Bureau of Meteorology's wave forecasting system. BMRC Research Report No. 79, Bur. Met., Australia.

Harris, P.T., Smith, R., Anderson, O., Coleman, R. and Greenslade, D.J.M. 2000. GEOMAT - Modelling of the continental shelf sediment mobility in support of Australia's regional marine planning process, Australian Geological Survey Organisation Record No. 2000/41, 64 pp.

Hess, G.D., Cope, M.E., Lee, S., Manins, P.C., Mills, G.A., Puri, K. and Tory, K.J. 2000. The Australian Air Quality Forecast System. Bull. Aust. Meteor. and Oceanogr. Soc., 13, 67-73.

Jasper, J.D. and Meighen, P.J. (Eds). 2000. 'Model systematic errors': extended abstracts of presentations at the twelfth annual BMRC modelling workshop (co-sponsored by WCRP/WGNE) 16-20 October 2000. BMRC Research Report No. 80, Bur. Met., Australia.

Keenan, T., Bally, J., May, P., Purdam, P., Freeman, G., Potts, R., Dance, S., Seed, A., Wilson, J., Joe, P., Conway, B., Golding, B. and Collier, C. 2000. The Sydney 2000 Forecast Demonstration Project, Bull. Aust. Meteor. and Oceanogr. Soc., 13, 63-66.

Le Marshall, J.F. 2000. 40 years of weather satellites - a remarkable story. Bull. Aust. Meteor. and Oceanogr. Soc., 13, 84-90.

Mills, G.A. 2000. A synoptic/diagnostic study of the 1998 Sydney-Hobart Yacht Race storm: a warm-cored extratropical cyclone. BMRC Research Report No. 76, Bur. Met., Australia.

Nicholls, N., Trewin, B. and Haylock, M. 2000. Climate extremes: indicators for state of the environment monitoring In: Climate extremes: indicators for State of the Environment monitoring, State of the Environment Technical Paper Series No. 2, Paper 1. Canberra, Environment Australia.

Phillips, T.J., Henderson-Sellers, A., Irannejad, P., McGuffie, K., and Zhang, H., AMIP I Modelling Groups. 2000. Validation of land-surface processes in AMIP models: a pilot study. PCMDI Report No. 63, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore CA94550-9234, USA.

Potts, R., 2000. Meteorological factors associated with VH-EBS incident in Perth 2 September 1999. Qantas Flight Safety Journal. Seed, A. and Keenan, T. 2000. Forecasting rainfall for Olympic Games, AWA Water, Nov-Dec., 26-27.

Sperber, K.R., Brankovic, C., Déqué, M., Frederiksen, C.S., Graham, R., Kitoh, A., Kobayashi, C., Palmer, T., Puri, K., Tennant, W. and Volodin, E. 2001. Dynamical seasonal predictability of the Asian summer monsoon. PCMDI Report No. 56, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore CA94550-9234, USA, 56pp.

Timbal, B. and McAvaney, B.J. 2000. A downscaling procedure for Australia. BMRC Research Report No. 78., Bur. Met., Australia.

Viviand, J., Lirola, S., Timbal, B., Power, S. and Colman, R. 2000. Impact of soil moisture on climate variability and predictability. BMRC Research Report No. 81, Bur. Met., Australia.

Wang, G., Kleeman, R., Smith, N. and Tseitkin, F. 2000. Seasonal predictions with a coupled global ocean-atmosphere model. BMRC Research Report No. 77, Bur. Met., Australia.