BMRC Publications 1999-2000

Journal articles, books and chapters in books

Cifelli, R.C., Rajopadhyaya, D.K., Williams, C.R., Avery, S.A. and May, P.T. 2000. Drop size distribution characteristics in tropical mesoscale convective systems. J. Appl. Meteor., 39, 760-777.

Deslandes, R., Reeder, M.J. and Mills, G. 1999. Synoptic analyses of a subtropical cold front during the 1991 Central Australian Fronts Experiment. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 87-110.

Ebert, E.E. and Weymouth, G.T. 1999. Incorporating satellite observations of "no rain" in an Australian daily rainfall analysis. J. Appl. Met., 38, 1, 44-56.

Frederiksen, C.S., Rowell, D.P., Balgovind, R.C. and Folland, C.K. 1999. Multidecadal simulations of Australian rainfall variability: The role of SSTs. J. Climate, 12, 357-379.

Jones, D.A. 1999. Characteristics of Australian land surface temperature variability. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 63, 11-31.

Jones, D. and Trewin, B. 2000. On the relationships between the El Niņo-Southern Oscillation and Australian land surface temperature. Int. J. Climatol. 20, 697-719.

Joussaume, S., Taylor, K.E., Braconnot, P., Mitchell, J.F.B., Kutzbach, J.E., Harrison, S.P., Prentice, I.C., Broccoli, A.J., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bartlein, P.J., Bonfils, C., Dong, B., Guiot, J., Herterich, K., Hewitt, C.D., Jolly, D., Kim, J.W., Kislov, A., Kitoh, A., Loutre, M.F., Masson, V., McAvaney, B.J., McFarlane, N., de Noblet, N., Peltier, W.R., Peterschmitt, J.Y., Pollard, D., Rind, D., Royer, J.F., Schlesinger, M.E., Syktus, J., Thompson, S., Valdes, P., Vettoretti, G., Webb, R.S. and Wyputta, U. 1999. Monsoon changes for 6000 years ago: Results of 18 simulations from the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP). Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 859-862.

Karl, T., Nicholls, N., Ghazi, A. 1999. CLIVAR/WMO Workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes. Climatic Change , 42, 3-7.

Kepert, J.D., Fairall, C.W. and Bao, J-W. 1999. Modelling the interaction between the atmospheric boundary layer and evaporating sea spray droplets. In: Air-Sea Exchange - Physics, Chemistry and Dynamics, Gary Geernaert (ed), Kluwer, 578pp, 363-410.

Kirono, D., Tapper, N. and McBride, J. 1999. Documenting Indonesian rainfall in the 1997-1998 El Niņo event. Physical Geography, 20 (5), 422-435.

Kleeman, R. and Power, S.B. 1999. Modulation of ENSO variability on decadal and longer timescales. In: "El Niņo and the Southern Oscillation, Multiscale Variability and its Impacts on Natural Ecosystems and Society", eds. H.F. Diaz and V. Markgraf, Cambridge University Press.

Kleeman, R., McCreary, J.P. and Klinger, B.A. 1999. A mechanism for generating ENSO decadal variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 1743-1746.

Kleeman, R. and Moore, A.M. 1999. A new method for determining the reliability of dynamical ENSO predictions. Mon. Weath. Rev., 127, 694-705.

Komen, G. and Smith, N.R. 1999. Wave and sea level monitoring and prediction in the service module of the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS). J. Mar. Syst. 19, 235-250.

Kumar, K., Kleeman, R., Cane, M.A. and Rajagopalan, B. 1999. Epochal changes in Indian monsoon-ENSO precursors. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 75-78.

Lau, K.M., Ding, Y., Wang, J-T., Johnson, R., Keenan, T., Cifelli, R., Gerlach, J., Thiele, O., Rickenbach, T., Tsay, S-C. and Lin, P-H. 2000. A report of the field operations and early results of the South China Sea Monsoon Experiment (SCSMEX). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 1261-1270.

Le Marshall, J.F. and Leslie, L.M. 1999. Modelling tropical cyclone intensity. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 147-152.

Le Marshall, J.F., Pescod, N., Seecamp, R., Puri, K., Spinoso, C. and Bowen, R. 1999. Local estimation of GMS-5 water vapour motion vectors and their application to Australian region numerical weather prediction. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 73-77.

Lemus-Deschamps L., Rikus, L. and Gies, P. 1999. The operational Australian ultraviolet index forecast 1997. Meteor. Appl., 6, 241-251.

May, P.T. 1999. Thermodynamic and vertical velocity structure of two gust fronts observed with a wind profiler/RASS during MCTEX. Mon. Weath. Rev., 127, 1796-1807.

May, P.T. and Holland, G.J. 1999. The role of potential vorticity generation in tropical cyclone rainbands. J. Atmos. Sci., 26, 1224-1228.

May, P.T. and Rajopodhyaya, D.K. 1999. Vertical velocity characteristics of deep convection over Darwin, Australia. Mon. Weath. Rev., 127, 1056-1071.

May, P.T., Keenan, T.D., Zrnic, D.S., Carey, L.D. and Rutledge, S.A. 1999. Polarimetric radar measurements of tropical rain at a 5 cm wavelength. J. Appl. Met., 38, 750-765.

McBride, J.L. 1999. Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, and tropical Australia: The southern hemisphere monsoon. In: Meteorology of the Southern Hemisphere, Meteorological Monograph, No. 27, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, USA., Chapt 3A, 89 - 99.

McBride, J.L. 2000. Verification of quantitative precipitation forecasts from operational numerical weather prediction models over Australia. Weather and Forecasting, 20, 103-121.

McBride, J.L. and Frank, W.M. 1999. Relationships between stability and monsoon convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 24-36.

Moore, A.M. and Kleeman, R. 1999. Stochastic forcing of ENSO by the intraseasonal oscillation. J. Clim., 12, 1199-1220.

Moore, A.M. and Kleeman, R. 1999. The non-normal nature of El Niņo and intraseasonal variability. J. Clim., 12, 2965-2982.

Nicholls, N. 1999. Cognitive illusions, heuristics, and climate prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 1385-1397.

Nicholls, N. 1999. Impact of the 1997/98 El Niņo in Australasia. In: International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies, 23 Session, 1998, A. Zichichi (ed), World Scientific, Singapore, 61-68.

Nicholls, N. and Beard, G. 2000. The application of El Niņo - Southern Oscillation information to seasonal forecasts in Australia. In: Drought A global perspective (D. Wilhite, Ed.), Routledge, 41-51.

Nicholls, N. and Murray, B. 1999. Workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes: Asheville, NC, USA, 3-6 June 1997. Breakout Group B: Precipitation. Climatic Change, 42, 23-29.

Plummer, N., Salinger, M.J., Nicholls, N., Suppiah, R., Hennessy, K.J., Leighton, R.M, Trewin, B., Page, C.M. and Lough, J.M. 1999. Changes in climate extremes over the Australian region and New Zealand during the twentieth century. In: Weather and climate extremes: Changes, variations and a perspective from the insurance industry, T.R. Karl, N. Nicholls and A. Ghazi (eds), Kluwer, pp 183-202. (Also in Climatic Change, 42, 183-202.)

Power, S., Casey, T., Folland, C., Colman, A., and Mehta, V. 1999. Inter-decadal modulation of the impact of ENSO on Australia. Climate Dynamics, 15, 319-324.

Power, S.B., Tseitkin, F., Mehta, V., Lavery, B., Torok, S. and Holbrook, N. 1999. Decadal climate variability in Australia during the twentieth century. Int. J. Climatol, 19, 169-184.

Rajopadhyaya, D.K., Avery, S.K., May, P.T. and Cifelli, R.C. 1999. Comparison of precipitation estimation using single and dual frequency wind profilers. J. Atmos. Oceanic Tech., 16, 165-173.

Reeder, M.J., Smith, R.K., Deslandes, R., Tapper, N.J. and Mills, G.A. 2000. Subtropical fronts observed during the 1996 Central Australian Fronts Experiment, Aust. Met. Mag., 49, 181-200.

Ritchie, E.A. and Holland, G.J. 1999. Large-scale patterns associated with tropical cyclogenesis in the western Pacific. Mon. Weath. Rev., 127, 2027-2043.

Seaman, R.S. 1999. Quality control of Australian sea level pressure observations. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 123-131.

Siems, S.T., Hess, G.D., Suhre, K., Businger, S. and Draxler, R.R. 2000. The impact of wind shear on observed and simulated trajectories during the ACE-1 Lagrangian experiments Aust. Met. Mag. 49, 109-120.

Sperber, K.R. and Participating AMIP Modelling Groups. 1999. Are revised models better models? A skill score assessment of regional interannual variability. Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 1267-1270.

Sugihara, G., Casdagli, M., Habjan, E., Hess, D., Dixon, P. and Holland, G. 1999. Residual delay maps unveil global patterns of atmospheric nonlinearity and produce improved local forecasts. Proc. National Acad. Sci., 96, 14210-14215.

Sun, X., Keenan, T.D. and Mein, R.G. 1999. Formulation and optimisation of the probability matching method for radar reflectivity and rain rate in the Darwin region. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 233-240.

Sun, Z. and Rikus, L. 1999. Improved application of exponential sum fitting transmissions to an inhomogeneous atmosphere. J. Geophys. Res., D6, 6,291 - 6,303.

Sun, Z. and Rikus, L. 1999. Parametrization of effective sizes of cirrus-cloud particles and its verification against observations. Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 3037-3055.

Wang, B. and Wang, Y. 1999. Dynamics of the ITCZ-equatorial cold tongue complex and causes of the latitudinal climate asymmetry. J. Climate. 12, 1830-1847.

Watterson, I.G., Dix, M.R. and Colman, R.A. 1999. A comparison of present and doubled CO2 climates and feedbacks simulated by three general circulation models. J. Geophys. Res. 104(D2), 1943-1956.

Weymouth, G. and Le Marshall, J. 1999. An operational system to estimate global solar exposure over the Australian region from satellite observations. I. Method and the initial climatology. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 181-195.

Weymouth, G., Mills, G.A., Jones, D., Ebert, E.E. and Manton, M.J. 1999. A continental-scale daily rainfall analysis system. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 169-179.

Zhang, H., and Casey, T. 2000. Verification of categorical probability forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 15, 80-89.

Zheng, X. and Frederiksen, C.S. 1999. Validating interannual variability in an ensemble of AGCM simulations. J. Climate, 12, 2957-2974.

Reports

Chambers, L. 1999. Is the south-west of Western Australia drying out? Climag., 2, July 1999, 10-11.

Chambers, L.E. and Drosdowsky, W. 1999. Australian seasonal rainfall prediction using near-global sea surface temperatures. Bull. Aust. Met. Oceanog. Soc. 12, 51-55.

Greenslade, D. 1999. The assimilation of ERS-2 altimeter data into the Australian wave model. BMRC Research Report No. 73.

Jasper, J.D. and Meighen, P.J. (eds). 1999. 'Parallel computing in meteorology and oceanography': abstracts of presentations at the Eleventh Annual BMRC Modelling Workshop, 9-11 November 1999. BMRC Research Report No. 75.

Le Marshall, J. and Jasper, J.D. (eds). 1999. Technical Proceedings of the Tenth International ATOVS Study Conference, Boulder, Colorado, 27 Jan - 2 Feb 1999.

Le Marshall, J., Jasper, J.D and Rochard, G. 1999. A report on the Tenth International ATOVS Study Conference. Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Australia.

McBride, J. 1999. Book Review: "Tropical climatology: an introduction to the climates of the low latitudes" 2nd edition by McGregor and Nieuwolt. Aust. Met. Mag., 48, 80.

Mills, G.A. 2000. A synoptic/diagnostic study of the 1998 Sydney-Hobart Yacht Race storm : a warm-cored extratropical cyclone. BMRC Research Report No 76.

Nicholls, N., Trewin, B. and Haylock, M. 2000. Climate extremes indicators for state of the environment monitoring In: "Climate extremes: indicators for State of the Environment monitoring", Canberra, Environment Australia.

Potts, R., Keenan, T. and May, P. 1999. Radar characteristics of storms in the Sydney area. BMRC Research Report No. 72.

Timbal, B. and McAvaney, B.J. 2000. A downscaling procedure for Australia. BMRC Research Report No. 78.

Wang, G., Kleeman, R., Smith, N. and Tseitkin, F. 2000. Seasonal predictions with a coupled global ocean-atmosphere model. BMRC Research Report No. 77.

Wang, Y.Q. 1999. A triply-nested movable mesh tropical cyclone model with explicit cloud microphysics - (TCM3). BMRC Research Report No. 74.