Selected Publications
 

Global Warming

Power, S., N. Plummer,  K. Pearce, D. Walland, S. Edwards, D.Jones, S. Gipton, P. Holper, and R. Whitehead et al., 2008: Changes in Australian attitudes towards global warming. MeteoWorld, April 2008.

CSIRO-BoM, 2007: Climate Change in Australia, CSIRO, 148 pp., K. Pearce, P. Holper, M. Hopkins, W. Bouma, P. Whetton, K. Hennessy and S. Power (Eds.).

Power, S.B., and I.N. Smith, 2007: Weakening of the Walker Circulation and apparent dominance of El Nino both reach record levels, but has ENSO really changed? Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, doi: 10.129/2007/GL30854.

Cai, W. D. Jones, K. Harle, T. Cowan, S. Power, I. Smith, and J. Arblaster, 2007: Chapter 2, Past climate change, 17-28. In: CSIRO-Bureau of Meteorology, 2007: Climate Change in Australia, Technical Report, 148 pp.

Power, S., and K. Pearce (Eds.), 2006: Climate research in the Bureau of Meteorology, BMRC Research Report 125, 8200.

Power, S., and K. Pearce, (Eds.), 2007: Tropical cyclones in a warming world. Priorities in research. BMRC Research Report 141, 48 pp.

Power, S., and N. Nicholls, 2007: Temperature variability in a warming world. Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 56, 105-110.

Holper, P., and S. Power (Eds.), 2007: Priorities in climate change research for Australia. Bull. Aust. Meteorol. Oceanogr. Soc., 20, p.1.

Watterson, I., P. Whetton, A. Moise, B,. Timbal, S. Power, and J. Arblaster, 2007: Chapter 5, Regional climate change projections, 49-107, In: In: CSIRO-Bureau of Meteorology, 2007: Climate Change in Austalia, Technical Report, 148 pp.

Timbal, B., J. Arblaster and S. Power, 2006: Attribution of late-twetntieth-century rainfall decline in southwest Australia. J. Climate, 19, 2046-2062.

Power, S.B., B. Sadler, and N. Nicholls, 2005: The influence of climate science on water management in WA: lessons for climate scientists. Bulletin  American. Met. Soc., 86, 839-844.

Power, S.B., Colman, R.A., McAvaney, B.J., Dahni, R.R., Moore, A.M., and N.R. Smith, 1993: The BMRC coupled atmosphere/ocean/sea-ice model. BMRC Research Report No. 37, 58 pp.

Colman, R.A., McAvaney, B.J., Fraser, J.R., Power, S.B., and R.R. Dahni, 1994: Ocean heat transport inferred from the BMRC AGCM. Climate Dynamics, 10, 221-229.

Colman, R.A., S.B. Power, B.J. McAvaney, and R.R. Dahni, 1995: A non-flux corrected transient CO2 experiment with the BMRC CGCM. Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, 3047-3050.

Kleeman, R., R.A. Colman, and S.B. Power, 1996: A recent change in the mean state of the Pacific Ocean: Observational evidence and atmospheric and ocean responses. J. Geophys. Res. (Oceans), 101, 20483-20500.

Colman, R.A., S.B. Power and B.J. McAvaney, 1997: Non-linear climate feedback analysis. Journal Geophys. Research (Atmos.), 13, 717-731.

Power, S.B., and A.C. Hirst, 1997: Eddy parameterisation and the response to idealized global warming. Climate Dynamics, 13, 417-428.

Power, S.B., F. Tseitkin, R. A. Colman, and A. Sulaiman, 1997: A coupled model for seasonal prediction and climate change research. BMRC Res. Rep. No. 66, 52 pp.


Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability

McGregor, S., N.J. Holbrook, and S. Power, 2009: The response of a stochastically forced ENSO model to observed off-equatorial wind-stress forcing. J. Climate, 22, (to appear).

McGregor, S., N.J. Holbrook, and S. Power, 2008: Interdecadal SST variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part II: the role of equatorial/off-equatorial wind stresses in a hybrid coupled model. J. Climate, 21, 4242-4256.

Cai, W. D. Jones, K. Harle, T. Cowan, S. Power, I. Smith, and J. Arblaster, 2007: Chapter 2, Past climate change, 17-28,. In: CSIRO-Bureau of Meteorology, 2007: Climate Change in Australia, Technical Report, 148 pp.

McGregor, S., N.J. Holbrook, and S. Power, 2007: Interdecadal SST variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Part I: the role of off-equatorial wind stresses and oceanic Rossby waves. J. Climate, 20, 2643-2658.

Power, S.B., and R. Colman, 2006: Multi-year predictability in a coupled general circulation model. Climate Dynamics, 26, 247-272.

Power, S., M. Haylock, R. Colman, and X. Wang, 2006: The predictability of interdecadal changes in ENSO and ENSO teleconnections. J. Climate, 8, 2161-2180.

Meinke, H., De Voil, P. Hammer, G., Power, S., Allan, R., Stone, R., Folland, C., and A. Potgieter, 2005: Rainfall variability at decadal and longer  time-scales: Signal or noise? J. Climate, 18, 89-96.

Power, S., R. Colman, X. Wang, and P. Hope, 2005: Can we predict decadal changes in Southern Hemisphere climate? Chapter 10, In: Predictions in Ungauged Basins: International Perspectives on the State of the Art and Pathways Forward. IHAS Publication 301, IHSS 0144-7815, S. Franks, M. Sivapalan, K. Takeuchi, Tachkawa, Eds., 109-113.

Power, McGregor, S., Holbrook, N.J., and S. B. Power, 2004: On the dynamics of interdecadal thermocline depth and SST in low to mid latitudes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L24201, doi:10.1029/2004GL021241.

Power, S.B., Kleeman, R., Colman, R.A., and B.J. McAvaney, 1995: Modeling the surface heat flux response to long-lived SST anomalies in the North Atlantic. J. Climate, 8, 2161-2180.

Power, S.B., F. Tseitkin, M. Dix, R. Kleeman, R. Colman, and D. Holland, 1995: Stochastic variability at the air-sea interface on decadal time scales. Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, 2593-2596.

Power, S., Tseitkin, F., Torok, S., Lavery, B., and B. McAvaney, 1998: Australian temperature, Australian rainfall, and the Southern Oscillation, 1910-1996: Coherent variability and recent changes. Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 47, 85-101.

Kleeman, R. and S. Power, 1999: Modulation of ENSO on decadal and longer time-scales. In: El Niño and the Southern Oscillation, Multi-scale Variability and its Impact on Natural Ecosystems and Society. (Edited by H.F. Diaz and V. Markgraf), 413-442, Cambridge, 496 pp.

Power, S., Tseitkin, F., Mehta, V., Torok, S., Lavery, B., 1999: Decadal climate variability in Australia during the 20th century. International J. Climatol. 19, 169-184.

Power, S., Folland, C., Colman, A., and V. Mehta, 1999: Inter-decadal modulation of the impact of ENSO on Australia. Climate Dynamics, 15, 319-324.

Walland, D., Power, S., and A. Hirst, 2000: Decadal climate variability in the CSIRO coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 16, 201-211. 

Latif, M., Mehta, V.,  et al., 1999: Data Requirements for decadal-to-centennial climate variability studies and coupled models. In: The Ocean Observing System for Climate, OceanObs99, 18-22 October, 1999.

Power, S., R. Colman, and X. Wang, 2003: Can we predict decadal changes in Australia's climate? In: Science for Drought. Proceedings of the National Drought Forum, Brisbane, April 2003, 173 pp. 

McKeon, G.M., I.W. Watson, W.B. Hall, B.K. Henry, S.B. Power, and G.S. Stone, 2004: Summary. In : Pasture degradation and recovery in Australia's rangeland's. Natural Resource Sciences, Queensland Government, 256 pp.

McKeon, G.M., et al., 2004: Historical degradation episodes in Australia: Global climate and economic forces and their interaction with rangeland grazing systems. In: Pasture degradation and recovery in Australia's rangelands. Natural Resource Sciences, Queensland Government, 256 pp.


Climate Prediction

Power, S., N. Plummer, and P. Alford, 2007: Making climate model forecasts more useful. Aust. J. Agric. Res., 58, 945-951.

Anwar, M.R., D. Rodriguez, D.L. Liu, S. Power, and G.J. O'Leary, 2008: Quality and potential utility of ENSO-based forecasts of spring rainfall and wheat yield in south-eastern Australia. Aust. J. Agric. Res., 59, 112-126.

Kleeman, R., and S.B. Power, 1994: Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise. Tellus A, 46, 529-540.

Power, S.B., Kleeman, R., Tseitkin, F., and N.R. Smith, 1995: A global version of the GFDL modular ocean model for ENSO studies. BMRC Technical Report, 18 pp.

Power, S.B., F. Tseitkin, R. A. Colman, and A. Sulaiman, 1997: A coupled model for seasonal prediction and climate change research. BMRC Res. Rep. No. 66, 52 pp.

Walsh, K.J.E., Bettio, L., Power, S., Fawcett, R., and J. Pahalad, 2001: Extended seasonal prediction of precipitation in Fiji. Austral. Meteorol. Mag. , 50, 195-203

Timbal, T., Power, S., and R. Colman, 2002: Impact of soil moisture on climate variability and predictability. J. Climate, 15, 1230-1238.

Power, S., 2004: Advancing climate science. In: DroughtCom Workshop. Improving the Communication of Climate Information. Volume 2 Extended Abstracts.  Plummer et al. (Eds),  Bureau of Meteorology, Australia, 52 pp. 


 
Improving Climate Services/ Communication and use of climate information in the wider community

Power, S., N. Plummer et al. 2008: Changes in Australian attitudes towards global warming. MeteoWorld, April 2008.

Power, S., N. Plummer, and P. Alford, 2007: Making climate model forecasts more useful. Aust. J. Agric. Res., 58, 945-951.


Power, S.B., B. Sadler, and N. Nicholls, 2005: The influence of climate science on water management in WA: lessons for climate scientists. Bulletin  American. Met. Soc., 86, 839-844.

Krishna, et al., 2000: A needs analysis for the strengthening of Meteorological Services: Meeting the Challenges. SPREP, 97 pp.

Power, S., W. Wright, and P. Della-Marta, 2001: Cli-Manage 2000. Conference on Managing Australian climate variability, October, 2000. Australian Bureau of Meteorology, 133 pp.

Power, S., G. Laughlin and A. Clark, 2001: Drought in Australia: Impacts, Mitigation, Monitoring, Policy and Prediction. Presented at SICCITÀ: MONITORAGGIO, MITIGAZIONE, EFFETTI, Cagliari  -  Villasimius, 21-23 Setember, 2000. 

Plummer, N., et al., (Eds.) 2004: DroughtCom Workshop. Improving the Communication of Climate Information. Volume 1 Workshop Report.  Bureau of Meteorology, Australia, 38 pp.

Plummer, N., et al., (Eds.), 2004: DroughtCom Workshop. Improving the Communication of Climate Information. Volume 2 Extended Abstracts.  Bureau of Meteorology, Australia, 52 pp.
 


Climatic Stability and the Thermohaline Circulation

Power, S.B., and R. Kleeman, 1993: Multiple equilibria in a global ocean general circulation model. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 23, 1670-1681.

Power, S.B., Moore, A.M., Post, D.A., Smith, N.R., and R. Kleeman, 1994: On the stability of North Atlantic Deep Water Formation in a global ocean general circulation model. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 24, 904-916.

Power, S.B., and R. Kleeman, 1994: Surface heat flux parameterization and the response of OGCMs to high latitude freshening. Tellus, 46A, 86-95.

Reason, C.J.C., and S.B. Power, 1994: The influence of Bering Strait on the thermohaline circulation in a global ocean general circulation model. Climate Dynamics., 9, 363-369.

Power, S.B., 1995: Climate drift in a global OGCM. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 25, 1025-1036.
 

Just for Fun

Power, S.B., 1991: The El Nino-Southern Oscillation and beer sales in the Australian region. AMOS Bulletin, No.4, 47-48.
 


Conference Papers/Abstracts (Bureau staff only)