NEVILLE NICHOLLS: PUBLICATIONS

Link to pre-1998 Publications

Books co-edited by Neville Nicholls

• Teleconnections linking worldwide climate anomalies. M. H. Glantz, R. W. Katz & N. Nicholls (eds.). Cambridge University Press, 1991, 535 pp.

• Weather and climate extremes. Changes, variations and a perspective from the insurance industry. T. R. Karl, N. Nicholls and A. Ghazi (eds.). Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1999, 349 pp.

• Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems. The Australian experience. G. L. Hammer, N. Nicholls and C. Mitchell (eds.). Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2000, 482 pp.

Journal papers & book chapters (recent):

1998

• Nicholls, N., Landsea, C., and Gill, J., 1998. Recent trends in Australian region tropical cyclone activity. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 65, 197-205. 

• Nicholls, N. 1998. Reply (to comments on "Climate change and Australian wheat yield"). Nature, 391, 449. 

• Nicholls, N. and Kestin, T.,1998. Communicating Climate. Climatic Change, 40, 417-420.  

• Nicholls, N., 1998. William Stanley Jevons and the climate of Australia. Australian Meteorological Magazine, 47, 285-293. 

• Peterson, T. C., Easterling, D. R., Karl, T. R., Groisman, P., Nicholls, N., Plummer, N., Torok, S., Auer, I., Boehm, R., Gullett, D., Vincent, L., Heino, R., Tuomenvirta, H., Mestre, O., Szentimrey, T., Salinger, J., Forland, E. J., Hanssen-Bauer, I., Alexandersson, H., Jones, P., and Parker, D., 1998. Homogeneity adjustments of in situ atmospheric climate data: A review. Int. J. Climatology, 18, 1493-1517. 

1999

• Nicholls, N., 1999. Cognitive illusions, heuristics, and climate prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 80, 1385-1397. 

• Nicholls, N., 1999. Impact of the 1997/98 El Niño in Australasia. In: International Seminar on Nuclear War and Planetary Emergencies, 23 Session, 1998, A. Zichichi (ed.), World Scientific, Singapore, 61-68.

• Nicholls, N., and Murray, W., 1999. Workshop on indices and indicators for climate extremes: Asheville, NC, USA, 3-6 June 1997 - Breakout Group B: Precipitation. In: Weather and climate extremes: Changes, variations and a perspective from the insurance industry, Karl, T. R., Nicholls, N., and Ghazi, A. (eds.), Kluwer, pp 23-29 (also in Climatic Change). 

• Plummer, N., Salinger, M. J., Nicholls, N., Suppiah, R., Hennessy, K. J., Leighton, R. M., Trewin, B., Page, C. M., and Lough, J. M., 1999. Changes in climate extremes over the Australian region and New Zealand during the twentieth century. In: Weather and climate extremes: Changes, variations and a perspective from the insurance industry, Karl,T.R., Nicholls,N., and Ghazi,A. (eds.), Kluwer, pp 183-202 (also in Climatic Change). 

2000

• Nicholls,N., & Beard,G., 2000. The application of El Niño-Southern Oscillation information to seasonal forecasts in Australia. In: Drought. A global assessment. D.Wilhite (ed.), Routledge, London, 41-51.

• Nicholls, N., Frederiksen, C., & Kleeman, R., 2000. Operational experience with climate model predictions. Chapter 8 in: Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems. The Australian experience, Hammer,G.L, Nicholls,N., and Mitchell,C. (eds.), Kluwer, 482 pp. 

• Nicholls, N., 2000. Opportunities to improve the use of seasonal climate forecasts. Chapter 19 in: Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems. The Australian experience, Hammer,G.L, Nicholls,N., and Mitchell,C. (eds.), Kluwer, 482 pp. 

• Limpus, C., and Nicholls, N., 2000. ENSO regulation of Indo-Pacific green turtle populations. Chapter 24 in: Applications of seasonal climate forecasting in agricultural and natural ecosystems. The Australian experience, Hammer,G.L, Nicholls,N., and Mitchell,C. (eds.), Kluwer, 482 pp. 

• Nicholls, N., 2000. El Niño - Southern Oscillation: Aftermath of the 1997/98 event and prediction of future events. WMO Bulletin, 49, 267-270.

• Nicholls, N., 2000. An artificial trend in District Average Rainfall in the Snowy Mountains. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 49, 255-258.

• Glantz, M., and Nicholls, N., 2000. Chronology of interest in El Niño. In: Currents of change. Impacts of El Niño and La Niña on climate and society, Glantz, M. (ed.), Cambridge Univ. Press, 229-236.

• Nicholls, N., 2000. What the instrumental and recent historical record tells us about the El Niño - Southern Oscillation. In: El Niño: History and Crisis, Grove, R. H., and Chappell, J. (eds.), The White Horse Press, 79-88.

• Haylock, M., and Nicholls, N., 2000. Trends in extreme rainfall indices for an updated high quality data set for Australia, 1910-1998. Int. J. Climatology, 20, 1533-1541.

2001

• Manton, M.J., Della-Marta, P.M., Haylock, M.R., Hennessy, K.J., Nicholls, N., Chambers, L.E., Collins, D.A., Daw, G., Finet, A., Gunawan, D., Inape, K., Isobe, H., Kestin, T.S., Lefale, P., Leyu, C.H., Lwin, T., Maitrepierre, L., Ouprasitwong, N., Page, C.M., Pahalad, J., Plummer, N., Salinger, M.J., Suppiah, R., Tran, V .L., Trewin, B., Tibig, I., Yee, D., 2001. Trends in extreme daily rainfall and temperature in Southeast Asia and the South Pacific: 1961-1998, International Journal of Climatology, 21, 269-284.

• Nicholls, N., 2001. Atmospheric and climatic hazards: Improved monitoring and prediction for disaster mitigation. Natural Hazards, 23, 137-155.

• Frederiksen, C. S., Zhang, H., Balgovind, R. C., Nicholls, N., Drosdowsky, W., & Chambers, L., 2001. Dynamical seasonal forecasts during the 1997/98 ENSO using persisted SST anomalies. J. Climate, 14, 2675-2695.

• Nicholls, N., 2001. The insignificance of significance testing. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 81, 981-986.

• Folland, C. K., Rayner, N. A., Brown, S. J., Smith, T. M., Shen, S. S. P., Parker, D. E., Macadam, I., Jones, P. D., Nicholls, N., and Sexton, D. M. H., 2001. Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861. Geophys. Res. Letts., 28, 2621-4.

• Diaz, H. F., Kovats, R. S., McMichael, A. J., and Nicholls, N., 2001. Climate and human health linkages on multiple timescales. In: History and Climate: Memories of the Future?, Jones, P. D., Davies, T. D., Ogilvie, A. E. J., and Briffa, K. R. (eds.), Kluwer, 310 pp.

2002

• Nicholls, N., 2002. El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Observation. Pages 713-719 in Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences (Holton, J. R., Curry, J. A. and Pyle, J. A., eds.), Academic Press, Amsterdam, 6 vols.

2003

• McBride, J. L., Haylock, M. R., and Nicholls, N., 2003. Relationships between the maritime continent heat source and the El Niño – Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 16, 2905-2914.

• Nicholls, N., 2003. El Nino in Australia. Chapter 43 in Handbook of Weather, Climate, and Water, T. D. Potter & B. R. Colman (eds.), Wiley, 966 pp.

• Nicholls, N., 2003. Continued anomalous warming in Australia. Geophysical Research Letters, 30, 1370.

• Nicholls, N., 2003. Commentary. Current Anthropology, 44, 381-382.

2004

• Nicholls, N., 2004. The changing nature of Australian droughts. Climatic Change, 63, 323-336.

• Nicholls, N., 2004. Climatic outlooks: from revolutionary science to orthodoxy. Chapter 2 in A change in the weather: Climate and culture in Australia, T. Sherratt, T. Griffiths & L. Robin (eds.), (in press).

• Wenbiao Hu, Nicholls, N., Lindsay, M., Dale, P., McMichael, A., Mackenzie, J., and Shilu Tong, 2004. Development of a predictive model for Ross River virus disease in Brisbane, Australia, Amer. J. Tropical Medicine & Hygiene, (accepted, March 2004).

• Nicholls, N., Della-Marta, P., & Collins, D., 2004. What caused the anomalous 20th century cooling in New South Wales?, Aust. Met. Mag., (accepted June 2004).

Miscellaneous: (Technical Reports, WMO Reports, Technical Papers)

• Nicholls, N., 1973. The Walker Circulation and Papua New Guinea rainfall. Bureau of Meteorology, Technical Report 6, September 1973, pp 13.

• Lajoie, F. A. & Nicholls, N., 1974. A relationship between the direction of movement of tropical cyclones and the structure of their cloud systems. Bureau of Meteorology, Technical Report 11, September 1974, pp 22.

• Downey, W. K., McGregor, J. L., & Nicholls, N., 1980. Evaluation of MSL prognoses from Australian Region Primitive Equations Model - A 30 day survey. CSIRO, Australian Numerical meteorology Research Centre Technical Report No. 4, pp 34.

• Nicholls, N., 1981. Long range weather forecasting for Indonesia. Working Paper No. 14, Meteorological and Geophysical Agency, Indonesia, July 1981.

• Nicholls, N., Gruza, G., Kikuchi, Y., & Somerville, R., 1984. Long-range weather forecasting: Recent research. World Meteorological Organisation, Long-range Forecasting Research Publications Series No. 3, pp 58.

• Nicholls, N. (ed.), 1993. Climate change and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation. Report of a workshop. Bureau of Meteorology, BMRC Research Report No. 36, July 1993, pp 31.

• Nicholls, N., 1994. What’s happening to the climate? Only better data will tell. United Nations Climate Change Bulletin, 5, 2-4.

• Nicholls, N., 1994. The use of statistical models in deriving seasonal climate outlooks. pp. 10-11 in Agricultural Systems & Information Technology, vol. 6, no. 2, Bureau of Resource Sciences, Canberra.

• Nicholls, N., 1996. Climate change: An incriminating fingerprint. Nature, 382, pp 27-28.

• Nicholls, N., 1997. Keys to global climate. The World & I, April 1997, 50-57.

• Nicholls, N., W. Drosodowsky, C. S. Frederiksen, R. Kleeman & N. R. Smith, 1997. Seasonal climate predictions. In: Climate Prediction for Agricultural and Resource Management, Bureau of Resource Sciences, Kingston, ACT, 318 pp.

• IOCI participants, 1999. Towards understanding climate variability in south western Australia. IOCI , October 1999, pp 237.

• Nicholls, N., Trewin, B., & Haylock, M., 2000. Climate extremes indicators for state of the environment monitoring. Environment Australia Technical Paper Series No 2, Paper 1, pp 20.

• Manton, M. J., and Nicholls, N., 2000. APN Workshops on Monitoring Trends in Climate Extremes. APN Newsletter, Vol. 6, No. 3, 1-2

• Nicholls, N., 2001. An early dispute about District Average Rainfall. Bulletin, Australian Meteorological & Oceanographic Society, 14, 67.

• IOCI participants, 2001. Second research report – Towards understanding climate variability in south western Australia. IOCI, October 2001, pp 193.

• Nicholls, N., 2001. Miracles can happen (introduction to poem by Alf Gillett). Weather, 56, 383.

• Allan, R., Chambers, D., Drosdowsky, W., Hendon, H., Latif, N., Nicholls, N., Smith, I., Stone, R., Tourre, Y., 2001. Is there an Indian Ocean Dipole, and is it independent of the El Niño - Southern Oscillation? CLIVAR Exchanges, 6, no. 3, 18-22.

• Prabowo, M. & Nicholls, N., 2002. Osilasi Seletan. Chapter 2 in: Kapan hujan turun? (Partridge, I. J. & Ma'shum, M., eds.), Dept. of Primary Industries, Brisbane, Qld., 52 pp.

• Chambers, L., Li, F., & Nicholls, N., 2002. Seasonal climate forecasts for south-west Western Australia. BMRC Research Report No. 86, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, July 2002, 34 pp.

• Indian Ocean Climate Initiative, 2002. Climate variability and change in south west Western Australia. Dept. Of Environment, Perth, September 2002, 34 pp.

• McMichael, A., Woodruff, R., Whetton, P., Hennessy, K., Nicholls, N., Hales, S., Woodward, A., and Kjellstrom, T., 2003. Human health and climate change in Oceania: A risk assessment, Commonwealth Department of Health and Ageing, Canberra, 2003, 126pp.

• Burroughs, W. (ed), 2003. Climate into the 21^st century, Cambridge Univ. Press, 240pp, (Section leader for Section 1)

• Pittock, Barrie (ed.), 2003. Climate change: an Australian guide to the science and potential impacts, Australian Greenhouse Office, 239pp (major contributor)

• Nicholls, N., 2004. “History”, Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological & Oceanographic Society, 17, 35-36.

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