Peer Reviewed
Publications
On-going (not published yet)
(pls. contact me if you want the
latest status of these manuscripts or if you would like to see an early draft)
[1]
A.J. Frost, S.P. Charles, R. Mehrotra, G. Fu, B.
Timbal, K.C. Nguyen and R.E. Chandler. 2009: “A comparison of multi-site
daily rainfall downscaling techniques under Australian conditions”, (in
preparation)
[2] F. Chiew, D. Kirono, D. Kent, A. Frost, S. Charles, B. Timbal and K. Nguyen, 2010: “Comparison of runoff modelled using rainfall from different downscaling methods for historical and future climates”, Water Resources Research, (in preparation)
[3]
B. Timbal, M. Wheeler and P. Hope. 2009: "Possible
causes of recent declines in rainfall in the southwest and southeast of
[4]
Q. Luo, B. Timbal and A. Kathuria, 2009:
“Performance of climate indices under Future Climate Change”, Agriculture,
Ecosystems and Environment, (submitted)
[5]
B. Timbal. 2009: “Review of the Garnaut Climate Change
final report”, Meteorological Application Journal, (in press)
[6]
P. Hope, B. Timbal and R. Fawcett. 2009:
"Associations between rainfall variability in the southwest and southeast
of
[7]
A. Hasson, G. Mills, B. Timbal and K. Walsh,
2008: “Assessing the impact of climate change on extreme fire weather
events over southeastern
Chapter in books
[8]
B. Timbal, N. Nicholls, W. Cai, K.
Hennessy and P. Hope. 2007: “Chapter 3: Causes of past climate change”, in CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology,
Climate Change in
[9]
I. Watterson, P. Whetton, A. Moise, B.
Timbal, S. Power, J. Arblaster and K. McInnes. 2007: “Chapter 5: Regional
climate change projections”, in CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology, Climate Change in
Article
[10] R.
Kounkou, G. Mills and B. Timbal. 2009: "A
reanalysis climatology of cool-season tornado environments over southern
Australia". Int. J. of Clim., DOI:
10.1002/joc.1856
[11] B. Timbal, E. Fernandez and Z. Li. 2009: “Generalization
of a statistical downscaling model to provide local climate change projections
for Australia”, Environmental Modelling and Software, 24,
341-358
[12] B. Timbal, P. Hope and S. Charles.
2008: “Evaluating
the consistency between statistically downscaled and global dynamical model
climate change projections”, J. of Climate, 21(22), 6052-6059.
[13] C. Rakich, N. Holbrook and B. Timbal.
2008: “A pressure
gradient metric capturing planetary-scale influence on eastern Australian
rainfall”. Geo. Res. Let, 35, L08713, doi:10.1029/2007GL03297
[14] B. Timbal and D. Jones. 2008: "Future
projections of winter rainfall in Southeast Australia using a statistical
downscaling technique". Climatic Change, 86, 165-187
[15] B. Murphy and B. Timbal. 2007: "A
review of recent climate variability and climate change in southeastern
Australia". Int. J. of Clim, 28(7), 859-879
[16] B. Timbal
and J. Arblaste
[17] B. Timbal, J. Arblaster and S. Power. 2006: "Attribution
of the late 20th century rainfall decline in South-West Australia". J.
of Climate, 19(10), 2046-2062
[18] B. Timbal. 2004: "South West
Australia past and future rainfall trends", Cli. Res., 26(3),
233-249
[19] B. Timbal, A. Dufour and B.J. McAvaney. 2003: "An
estimate of climate change for Western France using a statistical downscaling
technique", Climate Dyn., 17, 947-963
[20] B. Timbal, S. Power, R. Colman, J. Viviand and S. Lirola.
2002: "Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability
over
[21] B. Timbal, S. Power, R. Colman, J. Viviand and S. Lirola.
2002: "
Does soil moisture influence climate variability and predictability over
Australia?", J. Climate, 15, 1230-1238
[22] B. Timbal and B.J. McAvaney. 2001: "An
Analogue based method to downscale surface air temperature: Application for
Australia", Climate Dyn. , 17, 947-963
[23] B. Timbal and A. Henderson-Sellers. 1998: "Intercomparison
of land-surface parameterizations coupled to a limited area forecast model"
Global Planet. Change, 19, 247-260
[24] J. Polcher, M.-A. Gaertner, A. Hahmann, B.
McAvaney, J.-F. Mahfouf, J. Noilhan, T. Phillips, A. Pitman, A. Schlosser,
J.-P. Schulz, B. Timbal, D. Verseghy and P. Viterbo and Y. Xue. 1998:
"A
proposal for a general interface between land-surface schemes and general
circulation models" Global Planet. Change, 19, 261-276
[25] J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin, B. Timbal, P.
Araspin and D. Grimal. 1998: "A
GCM study of the impact of greenhouse gas increase on the frequency of
occurrence of tropical cyclones" Clim. Change, 38,
307-343
[26] B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer,
U. Cubasch and J.M. Murphy. 1997: "Comparison
between doubled CO2 time slice and coupled experiments" J.
Climate, 10, 1463-1469
[27] B. Timbal, A.N. Hahmann, A.J. Pitman,
W. Qu, A. Henderson-Sellers and A. Slater. 1997: "Integrating Land Surface
and Atmospheric Models" EOS,
78, 173-181
[28] R.D. Cess, M.-H. Zhang, G.L. Potter, V.
Alekseev, H.W. Barker, S. Bony, R.A. Colman, D.A. Dazlich, A.D. Del Genio, M. Deque, M.R. Dix, V. Dymnikov, M. Esch, L.D. Fowler, J.R.
Fraser, V. Galin, W.L. Gates, J.J. Hack, W.J. Ingram, J.T. Kiehl, Y. Kim, H. Le
Treut, X.-Z. Liang, B.J. McAvaney, V.P. Meleshko, J.-J. Morcrette, D.A.
Randall, E. Roeckner, M.E. Schlesinger, P.V. Sporyshev, K.E. Taylor, B.
Timbal, E.M. Volodin, W. Wang, W.-C. Wang, R.T. Wetherald. 1997: "Comparison
of the seasonal change in cloud-radiative forcing from atmospheric general
circulation models and satellite observations" J. Geophys. Res.,
102, 16,593-16,603
[29] E. Martin, B. Timbal and E. Brun. 1996:
"Downscaling
of general circulation models outputs: simulation of the snow climatology of
the French Alps and sensitivity to climate change" Climate Dyn.,
13, 45-56
[30] R.D. Cess, M.H. Zhang, W.J. Ingram, G.L.
Potter, V. Alekseev, H.W. Barker, E. Cohen-Solal, R.A. Colman, D.A.
Dazlich, A.D. Del Genio, M.R. Dix, V. Dymnikov, M. Esch, L.D. Fowler, J.R.
Fraser, V. Galin, W.L. Gates, J.J. Hack, J.T. Kiehl, H. Le Treut, K.K.-W. Lo,
B.J. McAvaney, V.P. Meleshko, J.-J. Morcrette, D.A. Randall, E. Roeckner, J.-F.
Royer, M.E. Schlesinger, P.V. Sporyshev, B. Timbal, E.M. Volodin, K.E.
Taylor, W.Wang, and R.T. Wetherald. 1996: "Cloud
feedback in atmospheric general circulation models: An update" J.
Geophys. Res., 101, 12,791-12,794
[31] B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer
and D. Cariolle. 1995: "Sensitivity
to prescribed changes in sea surface temperature and sea-ice in doubled carbon
dioxide experiments" Climate Dyn., 12, 1-20
[32] J.-F. Mahfouf, D. Cariolle, J.-F. Royer, J.-F.
Geleyn and B. Timbal. 1994: "Response
of the METEO-FRANCE Climate Model to Changes in CO2 and Sea-Surface-Temperature"
Climate Dyn., 9, 345-362
On-line publication
[33] B. Timbal, 2009: “The
continuing decline in South-East Australian rainfall – Update to may 2009”,
CAWCR Res. Let., 2, 4-11
[34] B.
Timbal and P. Hope, 2008: “Observed
early winter Mean Seal Level Pressure changes above southern Australia: a
comparison of existing datasets”, CAWCR res. Let., 1, 1-7
[35] B. Timbal and B. Murphy. 2007: "Observed
climate change in South-East of Australia and its relation to large-scale modes
of variability". BMRC Res. Let. 6, 6-11
[36] R.L. Wilby, S.P. Charles, E. Zorita, B.
Timbal, P. Whetton and L.O. Mearns, 2004: "Guidelines
for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Statistical Downscaling Methods".
Published on-line, supporting material to the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, detailed guidelines, 2,
27pp
Extended abstract
[37] D.-L. Liu, J. Mo, H. Fairweather and B.
Timbal: “A GIS tool to evaluate climate change impact: functionality and
case study”, proceedings of the MODSIM09 conference,
[38] N. Plummer, N. Tuteja, Q.J. Wang, E. Wang, D.
Robertson, S. Zhou, A. Schepen, O. Alves, B. Timbal and K. Puri, 2009:
“A Seasonal Water Availability Prediction Service: Opportunities and
Challenges”, proceedings of the MODSIM09 conference, Cairns, Australia
[39] B. Timbal and Z. Li. 2007: “A
user friendly interface to provide point specific climate change projections”,
546-552, proceedings of the MODSIM07 conference,
[40] B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer and D. Cariolle.
1995: "Sensitivity of climate change in Europe to the
[41] B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer and M. Déqué. 1994:
"Sensitivity parameters of the METEO-FRANCE climate models: EMERAUDE and
ARPEGE" in Climate
Sensitivity to Radiative Perturbations: Physical Mechanisms and Their
Validation, NATO/ASI Series, H. Le Treut (ed.), 34, 203-213
[42] J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin and B. Timbal.
1994: "Analysis of the monsoon response to radiative perturbations in GCM
simulations" in Climate
Sensitivity to Radiative Perturbations: Physical Mechanisms and Their
Validation, NATO/ASI Series, H. Le Treut (ed.), 34, 281-291
Report
[43] A. Hasson,
G. Mills, K. Walsh and B. Timbal. 2008: “Assessing
the impact of climate change on extreme fire weather in southeast Australia”,
CAWCR research report, 7, pp
86
[44] B. Timbal, Z. Li and E. Fernandez.
2008: “The
Bureau of meteorology Statistical Downscaling Model Graphical User Interface:
user manual and software documentation”, CAWCR research report, 4,
pp 98
[45] R. Kounkou, B. Timbal and G. Mills.
2007: "The impact of anthropogenic climate change on t the risk of
cool-season tornado occurrences". BMRC Research
Report, 129 , pp 79
[46] A. Voldoire, B. Timbal and S. Powe
[47] J. Viviand, S. Lirola, B. Timbal, S.
Power and R. Colman. 2000: "Impact of soil moisture on climate variability
and predictability". BMRC Research Report, 81, 49pp
[48] B. Timbal and B.J. McAvaney, 2000: "A downscaling procedure
for Australia". BMRC Research Report, 78, 40pp
[49] J.-F. Royer, F. Chauvin, B. Timbal, P.
Araspin and D. Grimal, 1997: "A GCM study of the impact of greenhouse gas
increase on the frequency of occurrence of tropical cyclones". CNRM, GMGEC
note de centre, 56, 53pp
[50] B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf and J.F. Royer, 1996:
"Comparisons between doubled CO2 time-slice and coupled
experiments". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 52, 35pp
[51] B. Timbal, J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-F. Royer and D. Cariolle, 1995:
"Sensitivity to prescribe changes in seas surface temperature and sea-ice
in double carbon dioxide experiments". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 42,
40pp
[52] B. Timbal and J.-F.
Mahfouf, 1994: "Analyses d'expériences de sensibilité au doublement du CO2
avec le modèle Arpege, comparaison avec les résultats d'Emeraude". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 29,
70pp (in French)
[53] B. Timbal, J.-F.
Mahfouf, M. Déqué and J.F. Royer, 1993: "Expériences de sensibilité a des
anomalies uniformes de température de la mer avec les modèles Emeraude et
Arpege". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 25, 44pp (in French)
Other publications (not peer reviewed)
Extended abstract
[54] B. Timbal, H. Hendon and O. Alves. 2006: "BMRC
involvement in the South Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI)".
In Climate change research in the Bureau of Meteorology , S.B. Power and
K. Pearce (eds.), BMRC Research
Report, 125, 74-76
[55] B. Timbal. 2006: "Statistical Downscaling in
BMRC". In Climate change research in the Bureau of Meteorology ,
S.B. Power and K. Pearce (eds.), BMRC Research
Report, 125, 68-72
[56] B. Timbal. 2006: "Statistical Downscaling - an
important part of ACCESS". In "The Australian Community Climate
and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) - challenge and opportunities". BMRC Research
Report, 123, 18th BMRC Modelling Workshop, pp 123-126
[57] B. Timbal. 2005: "What has happened with the winter
rainfall in southern
[58] B. Timbal, M.
Wheeler, S. Chêne, L. Maitrepierre and A. Leroy. 2004: "Impact de la
variabilité interannuelle et intra-saisonnière sur l‘activité cyclonique et la
pluviométrie". Acte des Assises Française de la Recherche dans le
Pacifique, Nouméa, New Caledonia, 6pp (in French)
[59] B. Timbal and B.J. McAvaney. 2002: "Using downscaling
to assess extreme weathers in changed climatic conditions". In BMRC
Research Report, 90, "Modelling and predicting extreme events"
14th BMRC Modelling Workshop, pp 133-136
On-line publication
[60] B. Timbal, 1997: " Technical note: PILPS - Phase 4
(b): Land Surface Model Coupling to LAPS".
PILPS technical note, available online
Technical publication
[61] B. Timbal, K. Whan and M. Raupach, 2009: “Assessment of
climate changes over a range of timescales on evapotranspiration, runoff and drainage across SEA, through
both physical and ecological
processes”, South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), final report
for project 1.3.1P,
pp
[62] B. Timbal and E. Fernandez, 2009: “Improved detection of
the recent rainfall decline including its seasonality and spatial
characteristics”, South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), final report
for project 1.2.1P, pp
[63] B. Timbal and I. Smith, 2009: “Assessing the relationship
between the Hadley Circulation and position and intensity of the sub-tropical
ridge in the Australian region”, South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative
(SEACI), final report for project 1.1.1P, pp
[64] I. Smith, M. Hopkins, B. Timbal, F.
Chiew and H. Hendon, 2009: “South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative: 2008
annual report”. Prepared by the CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology for the
South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), 75pp
[65] B. Timbal and E. Fernandez, 2009: “Application of the
Bureau of Meteorology downscaling technique to coupled climate model simulation
of the 20th century and implications of the attribution of
observed climate change”, South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI),
final report for project 1.5.1, 25 pp
[66] B. Timbal and E. Fernandez, 2009: “Application of the
Bureau of Meteorology downscaling technique to reanalyses: implications for the
attribution of observed climate change”, South-Eastern Australian Climate
Initiative (SEACI), final report for project 1.4.1, 20 pp
[67] F. Chiew, H Cleugh, P. Holper, M. Hopkins, G.
Macaulay, I smith and B. Timbal,
2008: “South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative: 2007 annual report”.
Prepared by the CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology for the South-Eastern Australian Climate Initiative
(SEACI), 72pp
[68] B. Timbal, B. Murphy, E. Fernandez and Z.
Li. 2008: “Development of the analogue downscaling technique for rainfall,
temperature, surface humidity and pan evaporation”. South-Eastern Australian
Climate Initiative (SEACI), final report for project 1.3.1, 17 pp
[69] B. Timbal, B. Murphy, K. Braganza, H.
Hendon, M. Wheeler and C. Rakich. 2007: “Compare documented climate changes
with those attributable to specific causes”. South-Eastern Australian Climate
Initiative (SEACI), final report for project 1.1.2, 19 pp
[70] S. Charles, R.
Barratt, R. Beecham, A. Close, S. Crimp,
[71] B.
Timbal and B. Murphy. 2007: “Document changes in south-eastern Australian
rainfall, temperature, surface humidity and pan evaporation”. South-Eastern
Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), final report for project 1.1.1, 19 pp
[72] P. Holper, B. Bates, H. Hendon, B. Timbal, F. Chiew and
[73] H. Zhang, O. Alves, D. Hess, H. Richter, B.
Timbal, B. McAvaney, G. Mills, K. Puri, G. Roff and G. Weymouth.
2003: "BMRC Land-Surface Modelling and Studies: Current Status and Future
Plans". BMRC strategy paper, 35 pp
[74] B. Timbal, G. Mills and F. Woodcock. 2003: "Downscaling
in BMRC". BMRC strategy paper, 29pp
[75] B. Timbal,
1994: "Analyses d'expérience de modifications climatiques liées a l'augmentation des gaz a effet de serre. Sensibilité de la
réponse a la formulation du modèle et aux forçages utilises". Institut
national Polytechnique de Toulouse, France. PhD Thesis (in French)
[76] B. Timbal and J.-F.
Mahfouf, 1992: "Analyses d'une expérience de sensibilité au doublement du
CO2 avec le modèle Emeraude". CNRM, GMGEC note de centre, 15,
47pp (in French)
[77] B. Timbal, 1992:
"Analyses d'une expérience de sensibilité au doublement du gaz carbonique
simulée par un modèle climatique". DEA thesis, INPT, 41pp (in French)
[78] B. Timbal, 1992:
"Analyses d'une expérience de sensibilité au doublement du gaz carbonique
simulée par un modèle climatique". Final year thesis, ENSEEIHT,
INPT, 56pp (in French)
[79] B. Timbal, 1991:
"Rapport de stage industriel au centre d'essai de Mack Truck, inc". Second year training period report, ENSEEIHT, INPT, 50pp (in French)
Media release and relevant press article
[80] May 2008, SEACI program: “Global
warming linked to rainfall decline in south east
[81] June 2007, SEACI program: “The
Drying of Australia’s South East”. CSIRO press release
[82] April 2006, Australian Farm
Journal: " Shorter growing season predicted for WA wheat belt"
[83] November 2005, Canberra Times,
[84] 2005, Greenhouse conference,
[85] 2004, 16th Australian
New-Zealand Climate Forum,